Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000197 0.000213 0.000231 0.000251 0.000273 0.000298 0.000326
2024-10-13 0.000171 0.000195 0.000222 0.000254 0.000294 0.000340 0.000400
2024-10-20 0.000154 0.000180 0.000211 0.000251 0.000302 0.000364 0.000449
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000175 0.000210 0.000258 0.000320 0.000402 0.000518
2024-11-03 0.000133 0.000163 0.000200 0.000251 0.000320 0.000413 0.000553
2024-11-10 0.000124 0.000154 0.000192 0.000247 0.000323 0.000429 0.000595
2024-11-17 0.000116 0.000146 0.000185 0.000242 0.000323 0.000441 0.000631
2024-11-24 0.000110 0.000141 0.000182 0.000242 0.000331 0.000463 0.000686
2024-12-01 0.000105 0.000136 0.000178 0.000241 0.000337 0.000483 0.000740
2024-12-08 0.000102 0.000134 0.000177 0.000244 0.000348 0.000512 0.000811
2024-12-15 0.000097 0.000128 0.000172 0.000240 0.000348 0.000523 0.000854
2024-12-22 0.000094 0.000125 0.000170 0.000241 0.000356 0.000548 0.000923
2024-12-29 0.000091 0.000124 0.000170 0.000245 0.000370 0.000585 0.001026
2025-01-05 0.000089 0.000122 0.000170 0.000249 0.000385 0.000627 0.001147
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000118 0.000166 0.000246 0.000387 0.000644 0.001218
2025-01-19 0.000084 0.000117 0.000167 0.000252 0.000406 0.000697 0.001378
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000112 0.000161 0.000245 0.000400 0.000699 0.001421
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000108 0.000156 0.000242 0.000400 0.000712 0.001496
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000104 0.000152 0.000237 0.000397 0.000721 0.001558
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000102 0.000150 0.000237 0.000404 0.000751 0.001684
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000099 0.000148 0.000236 0.000409 0.000777 0.001807
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000098 0.000148 0.000239 0.000421 0.000820 0.001988
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000144 0.000235 0.000420 0.000832 0.002079